FPL managers have just 14 days left to salvage their seasons, and one fixture stands above the rest: Arsenal’s home clash against Burnley at the Emirates Stadium. With the Gunners chasing a clean sheet to boost goal difference and Burnley already relegated, the stage is set for a high-scoring finale.
📋 FPL Gameweek 37 Snapshot
- 120 minutes — Arsenal and Burnley face off in a double-gameweek showdown
- £90 million — Average FPL budget spent by top 1% of managers
- 4.2 points — Haaland’s average haul in his last five City away games
Viktor Gyokeres leads the attack for Arsenal, priced at £9m and primed for a captaincy pick. The Swedish striker has averaged 0.52 goals per game at home this season, compared to just 0.25 on the road. Burnley’s leaky defence, which has conceded 72 goals this season, offers little resistance, making Gyokeres a statistical lock for a big return.
Behind him, Myles Lewis-Skelly and Gabriel complete the Gunners’ defensive core. Lewis-Skelly, priced at £5m, has a chance to start in midfield and could rack up defensive contribution points, while Gabriel’s £7.3m price tag reflects his status as the Premier League’s best defender for clean sheets. Burnley have conceded at home in 13 of their last 14 games, making this a no-brainer defensive pairing.
| Arsenal Player | FPL Price | 2024 Home xG |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyokeres | £9.0m | 6.2 |
| Gabriel | £7.3m | 4.1 |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | £5.0m | 2.8 |
But the real wildcard comes from Brentford’s Igor Thiago. The £7.3m Brazilian forward has been unlucky in recent weeks, with two big chances missed last time out. Burnley’s defence is so porous that Thiago’s xG of 1.06 in his past four games could finally translate into points. With Brentford’s attack firing, he’s a differential pick that could break the bank.
💡 Pro Tip
If you’re banking on Haaland, don’t overlook his away form. City’s title race hinges on this game, and his £14.6m price tag is justified by his 12 goals in the last 10 away matches.
At the back, Caoimhin Kelleher of Crystal Palace emerges as a budget-friendly option at £4.8m. Since week 29, the Palace keeper has returned a clean sheet every other game, and with his side focused on the Europa Conference League final, rotation is likely. Burnley’s attack is toothless, but Palace’s leaky defence makes Kelleher a shrewd pick—especially at his price.
Key Picks for Gameweek 37
- ✅ Gyokeres (Captain) — 9 goals at home, Burnley’s defence in tatters
- ⚡ Gabriel — £7.3m defender with 11 points last week
- 💡 Thiago — £7.3m Brazilian with 1.06 xG in past four games
For those chasing a double-gameweek haul, Everton’s Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall offers value at £5.2m. The midfielder has returned in four of his past five games, and Sunderland’s defence has conceded in each of their last three outings. With Everton still chasing a Europa League spot, the motivation is high.
- Defensive Duo — Gabriel and Lewis-Skelly for clean sheet and attacking threat
- Midfield Engine — Dewsbury-Hall for differential points in a must-win game
- Captaincy Gamble — Gyokeres for a high-risk, high-reward finish to the season
As the Premier League season draws to a close, FPL managers must act fast. The difference between 10th and 20th could hinge on a single point—making this week’s picks more critical than ever.